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Thursday, February 05, 2009

Risk Group blog

Risk group launched Risk Group Blog.
Risk Group’s mission, goal and objective is to advance professional collaboration and pro-active approach among nation, its industries and global stakeholders. Share your views on the blog or write to:
Jayshree Pandya PhD,Global Risk Advisor,Risk Group,USA,,


Marcos said...

Credit Crunch and the global risk to increase lung and other tobacco diseases
One of the dangers of the current crisis of credits is closely associated with unemployment-depression cycle.It recalls that between 1910 and 1930 there was an increase in consumption of tobacco products,cigarettes mainly,of 11 times ! There are other features that increase exuberant, it included the marketing and advertising coupled with a network starting their capillarization than the poor policies of the existing control.There are parts of the world where all these conditions refer to the decade of 30 where tobacco consumption is in the upward curve:Asia and in developing countries, notably the African continent and region of BRICS (Brazil, Russian republic, India and China).The total number of smokers in the world, according to the World Bank reach today the figure of 1.1 billion, of which 72% (800 million) concentrated in developing countries. The result is the current 5 million deaths caused by tobacco, of which 50% have occurred in these developing countries.The price of cigarette is highly attractive,in some of these places, just because the absence or inadequate legislation and plans that address the risk involved to tobacco.China today is the big market and the aplle's eye of the industry, not only the likely demand and the circumstances outlined, but also as the largest global center of distribution of cigarettes.The consequences for these type of trading are hazardous to the human health.The risk of a big increase in Tobacco- cancer prevalence as lung,stomach,bladder, esophagus can be multiplied many times.
South America is also in a delicate situation, despite notable advances, particularly in Urugay.Brazil's is in considered risk, according to methodology of hazard (HAZOP).Today, there is in Brazil 8 cigarette factories, which pay taxes.However , the cigar in Brazil is the fifth cheapest in the world, and this contributes to the consumption especially among youth.Another bias is Paraguay, with a population equivalent of 2.5% to population of Brazil,but more than 30 tobacco industries.The average price of a pack of cigarettes in Paraguay is around $ 0.10 and US$1.5 in Brazil.This favors the existence of corruption and smuggling in the border,violates the human right to health and contributes considerably to environmental pollution smoking, in return increasing health costs. Thus depleting the issues that are quite distant from the goals of the millennium and the United Nations Global Pact and risk the existence of a sustainable and inclusive global economy.
The American Lung Association and the departments of comunity health would be alerted about the possibility in increasing demand of cigarretes with these crunch credit crisis and it could be linked to an increase in cancer numbers.The same Cancer departments in the other countries, as INCA in Brazil, must be advised the government officials.
The US government and the Economic officials are worried about the banks and credits,but no coments about the health.Tax Incentives to the corporations that starting a prevention and possibility the treatment of the dependence of tobbacco must be implementented "Better early than never," I always say. And since never is a long, long, time – being late is OK too, but early – yeah early – would be a portfolio Health manager’s best maxim.

DR. Marcos Nascimento,MD.
Tobacco Risk Advisor
Pulmonology Professor at PUCPR Curitiba-Brazil

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